Euro area quarterly balance of payments and international investment position: fourth quarter of 2022

Europe
  • Current account deficit at €137 billion (1.0% of euro area GDP) in 2022, down from €285 billion surplus (2.3% of GDP) a year earlier
  • Geographical counterparts: largest bilateral current account deficits vis-à-vis China (€170 billion) and Russia (€79 billion) and largest surpluses vis-à-vis United Kingdom (€137 billion) and Switzerland (€72 billion)
  • International investment position showed net assets of €265 billion (2.0% of euro area GDP) at end of 2022
  • Euro area financial assets vis-à-vis Russia amounted to €308 billion (0.9% of euro area external assets) at end of the fourth quarter of 2022, down by 21% since end of previous quarter

Current account

The current account of theeuro area recorded a deficit of €137 billion (1.0% of euro area GDP) in 2022, after recording a surplus of €285 billion (2.3% of GDP) in 2021 (Table 1). This change was mainly driven by switches in the goods balance – from a surplus of €279 billion to a deficit of €85 billion – and, to a lesser extent, in the primary income balance – from a surplus of €65 billion to a deficit of €10 billion. Moreover, the deficit in secondary income edged up from €158 billion to €161 billion. These developments were slightly offset by a larger surplus for services (up from €99 billion to €119 billion).

The larger surplus for services in 2022 was mainly due to widening surpluses for travel services (from €24 billion to €53 billion), telecommunication, computer and information services (from €129 billion to €145 billion)and transport services (from €14 billion to €24 billion), while larger deficits were recorded for other business services (from €46 billion to €65 billion) and other services (from €28 billion to €47 billion).

The switch in the primary income balance from a surplus to a deficit was mainly due to a lower surplus in direct investment income (from €41 billion to €4 billion), a larger deficit in portfolio equity income (from €72 billion to €98 billion) and a decline in the surplus for other primary income (from €8 billion to €0.1 billion), the latter mostly related to an increase in payments to the EU institutions.

 

Data for the current account of the euro area

Data on the geographical counterparts of the euro area current account (Chart 1) show that in 2022 the euro area recorded its largest bilateral deficits vis-à-vis China (€170 billion, up from €83 billion in 2021), Russia (€79 billion, up from €22 billion) and the residual group of other countries (€76 billion, after a surplus of €124 billion). The largest bilateral surpluses were recorded vis-à-vis the United Kingdom (€137 billion, down from €158 billion) and Switzerland (€72 billion, up from €68 billion). Furthermore, in 2022 the euro area recorded an annual bilateral current account deficit of €37 billion vis-à-vis the United States, following a surplus of €57 billion in 2021.

The most significant changes in the geographical components of the current account in 2022 relative to 2021 were as follows. The goods balance vis-à-vis the residual group of other countries turned from a surplus of €38 billion to a deficit of €188 billion. This was partly due to a larger goods deficit with Norway (up from €14 billion to €75 billion) and increased imports from countries within the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, in both cases driven by larger imports of energy products. The deficit vis-à-vis China increased from €112 billion to €191 billion and the deficit vis-à-vis Russia rose from €40 billion to €92 billion, mainly on account of higher prices for imported energy products.

In services, the surplus vis-à-vis the United Kingdom widened (from €29 billion to €52 billion), mostly owing to exports of travel services, while the deficit vis-à-vis the United States increased (from €81 billion to €126 billion) mainly on account of larger imports of research and development services. In primary income,a larger deficit was recorded vis-à-vis the United States (up from €41 billion to €89 billion), while the primary income balance vis-à-vis the United Kingdom switched from a surplus of €22 billion to a deficit of €11 billion. In secondary income, the deficit vis-à-vis the EU Member States and EU institutions outside the euro area decreased from €90 billion to €86 billion.

Data for the geographical breakdown of the euro area current account

International investment position

At the end of the fourth quarter of 2022, the international investment position of the euro area recorded net assets of €265 billion vis-à-vis the rest of the world (2.0% of euro area GDP), down from €475 billion in the previous quarter (Chart 2 and Table 2).

Data for the net international investment position of the euro area

The €210 billion decrease in net assets reflected changes in the various investment components. Larger net liabilities were recorded in portfolio equity (up from €2.73 trillion to €2.97 trillion) and in other investment (up from €1.26 trillion to €1.42 trillion), while lower net assets were recorded in direct investment (down from €2.20 trillion to €2.18 trillion). These were partly offset by an increase in net assets in portfolio debt (up from €1.14 trillion to €1.35 trillion).

Data for the international investment position of the euro area

The developments in the euro area’s net international investment position in the fourth quarter of 2022 were driven mainly by large negative net flows from exchange rate changes – reflecting the appreciation of the euro in nominal effective terms – and, to a lesser extent, price changes. These were partly offset by other volume changes and transactions (Table 2 and Chart 3).

Theincrease in net liabilities for portfolio equity was mostly driven by negative net flows for price changes (as the price increase was larger in liabilities than in assets), transactions and, to a lesser extent, exchange rate changes, which were partially offset by positive net other volume changes (Table 2). The increase in net assets for portfolio debt resulted from positive net transactions, other volume changes and price changes, which were partially offset by negative net exchange rate changes. In direct investment, negative net flows owing to exchange rate changes were almost offset by positive net price changes, other volume changes and transactions, while in other investment net liabilities increased, mainly as a result of negative other volume changes.

At the end of the fourth quarter of 2022 the gross external debt of the euro area amounted to €15.8 trillion (approximately 118% of euro area GDP), down by €806 billion compared with the previous quarter.

Data for changes in the net international investment position of the euro area

This release provides an overview of the euro area’s international investment position vis-à-vis residents of Russia at the end of the fourth quarter of 2022 and reports the main changes compared with the previous quarter (Table 3).[1] Euro area financial assets vis-à-vis Russia amounted to €308 billion (0.9% of euro area external assets) at the end of the fourth quarter of 2022, a 21% decrease since the end of the previous quarter. This decrease was broad-based across functional categories, with the largest contributions due to euro area direct investment, other investment and portfolio investment assets in Russia. At the same time, the euro area recorded liabilities of €469 billion vis-à-vis Russia (1.4% of total external liabilities), a decline of 7% compared with the previous quarter, driven mainly by lower liabilities in other investment.

Data for the international investment position of the euro area – geographical breakdown

At the end of 2022 euro area direct investment assets were €12.1 trillion, 26% of which was invested in the United States and 18% in the United Kingdom (see Table 4). Euro area direct investment liabilities were €9.9 trillion, with 30% being investments from the United States, 18% from the United Kingdom and 18% from offshore centres.

In portfolio investment, euro area holdings of foreign securities amounted to €5.4 trillion in equity and €5.7 trillion in debt at the end of 2022. The largest holdings of equity securities were in securities issued by residents of the United States (accounting for 51%), followed by those issued by residents of the United Kingdom and offshore centres (each accounting for 10%). In debt securities, the largest euro area holdings were in securities issued by residents of the United States (accounting for 35%), the United Kingdom (18%) and the EU Member States and EU institutions outside the euro area (15%).

On the portfolio investment liabilities side, non-residents’ holdings of securities issued by euro area residents stood at €8.3 trillion in equity and at €4.4 trillion in debt at the end of 2022. The largest holder countries of euro area equity securities were the United States (41%) and the United Kingdom (10%), while in euro area debt securities the largest holders were the BRIC group of countries (18%), the United States (16%) and Japan (12%).

In other investment, euro area residents’ claims on non-residents amounted to €6.6 trillion, 30% of which was vis-à-vis the United Kingdom and 21% vis-à-vis the United States. Euro area other investment liabilities amounted to €8.0 trillion, with the United Kingdom accounting for 28%, while the shares of the EU Member States and EU institutions outside the euro area and the United States were 21% and 15% respectively.

 

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