Will there be a white Christmas in 2024? This is what the models show

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Based on snow forecasts for the 2024/2025 winter, the weak La Niña phenomenon will influence weather patterns, especially in North America and Canada. Forecasts suggest more snow in the northern parts of the United States and southern Canada, while most of Europe is likely to experience below-average snowfall, except for northern Scandinavia and parts of the Alps.

According to ECMWF and UKMO forecasts, southern and central Europe will have less snow, while northern areas, such as Scandinavia, may receive more. A monthly breakdown looks like this:

  • December: Below-average snowfall, with average amounts in the Alps.
  • January: Similar trend, little snow outside the Alps and surrounding areas.
  • February: Further decrease in the likelihood of snowfall, except in the northern parts of the continent.
  • Both ECMWF and UKMO forecasts indicate that most of Europe can expect less snow than average. Scandinavia and the Alps may be the exception, with these regions experiencing normal or even above-average snowfall, especially in December.
  • Models show that most of Western and Central Europe, including France, Germany, and Hungary, can currently expect below-average snowfall for Christmas 2024.

Will there be snow in the winter of 2024/2025? Snowfall forecasts for 2024/2025 still show significant differences between continents:

  • Europe:
    • ECMWF and UKMO long-term models predict below-average snowfall for most of Europe.
    • Scandinavia and the Alps will be the most likely locations for normal or above-normal snowfall.
    • February, towards the end of winter, indicates even weaker snowfall activity, especially in Central and Southern Europe.

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